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Category: World Economy

Articles dealing with the global economy.

Euros versus the dollar

Multiple central banks weaken the euro

The reputation of the euro will depend upon the reputation of the European Central Bank and its ability to control the volume of euros in circulation.

The multiplicity of independent central banks is the Achilles heel of the eurosystem. A bank, controlled by the government, in a fiat money environment, that acts as the paying agent for that government, has — in effect — the capability to print money (although not necessarily banknotes).

Imagine, tomorrow the headlines in the Wall Street Journal read “$100 billion is inflationary euros issued without the knowledge of the European Central Bank”. What would be the effect of the news on the value of the euro as a reserve currency?

International finance

Who chooses the global reserve currency?

An alternate

Who determines the ‘world reserve currency’? Central bankers? IMF officials? College professors?

The answer is ‘none of the above’. In an open, global economy, the world reserve currency is determined by the judgment of millions of importers and exporters in many countries.

The world reserve currency is decided by consensus and the personal decisions of exporters as to what currency they will accept for their goods.

On this basis, it’s too early to count the dollar out.

Hard Times

Finding a job in the new capital market

Whither Wall Street?

The Crash of 2008 was the end to what I call, “the old capital markets”.

A new era is beginning, but form and detail are hidden in the mists of change. It may be a decade or so before new structures and directions are visible.

Many were thrown out of work by the Crash, but before getting into the unpleasant chore of actually looking for a job, you should consider whether or not you even want to work in the new capital markets.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Stock buybacks and dividend equivalency

Corporations have argued that stock buybacks are equivalent to dividends. This article explains why this is not true and why suggesting buyback-dividend equivalency may constitute fraud.
More ...

Securities Analysis

Efficient Market Hypothesis: No proof

The Efficient Market Hypothesis continues to impede understanding of how capital markets work. This hypothesis suggests that world capital markets are guided by crowds of rational, competing, profit-maximizers, each trying to predict future market values of individual securities. The Efficient Market Hypothesis has never been proven.
More ...

US Politics

President Obama and the Lincoln Bible

The Crash of 2008 put Barack Obama in the Oval Office and was the culmination of two secular financial trends. Americans now have an untested, inexperienced leader, with strange radical friends and a leftist deficit spending agenda. More ...

US equities

Households save more and invest in equities

Government economic stimulus programs that have sent money directly to US households have resulted in more saving and less spending. Low interest rates have encouraged individuals to move from debt instruments into equities. More ...

US Bonds

The collapse of the dollar and US bonds?

The extreme spending of the Obama government, combined with irresponsible bank lending policies promoted by Barney Frank and Chris Dodd, portend rising interest rates, the collapse of the bond market, and the end of dollar supremacy. More ...

World Economy

Signs of US losing its groove?

Thirty years ago, US income from abroad was more than double the amount of income that the US paid to the rest of the world. This year, or the next, this foreign income surplus may disappear forever. Is the US 'losing its groove'? More ...

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Stock Quotes

DJIA10319.95  chart -0.57%
NASDAQ2190.27  chart -0.83%
S&P 5001083.61  chart -0.54%

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2010-08-12 16:02