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Category: Inflation

This category includes articles about the causes and effects of the loss of purchasing power of currencies.

Stagflation watch

When will inflation kick in?

Forecasting when inflation will kick in is impossible, because the political situation is so uncertain and conflicted.

The lack of fiscal restraint of President Obama on the healthcare issue, the ’stimulus bill’, and other ‘progressive’ legislation in the pipeline, combined with the jobs-firsts-inflation-last attitude of Fed Chairman Bernanke — leave little room to doubt that sooner or later the United States is likely to enter the realm of double-digit inflation.

Inflation is likely be the final and deadliest blow to the retirement dreams of many Baby Boomers. When the stock market crashes, one can hope for a recovery some day. With inflation, the losses are permanent and final.

The coming storm:

Will gold protect you against inflation?

Will Obama's exit crash gold?

In 35 of the last 50 years, gold prices have fallen relative to inflation. On four occasions, gold has fallen 50% or more. Gold does not track inflation, but rather anticipation of hyper-inflation or war.

In 2010, gold prices were soaring, reflecting fear of inflation from fiscal excesses of the Obama administration and continuation of war in Iraq and Afghanistan. If Obama is a one-termer, gold prices could fall.

Storm coming:

How to survive the coming inflation

Money as wallpaper. Germany 1923.

When the government spends much more than it takes in, inflation results. The Obama administration is spending a lot more that it should.

In fact, Congressional authorization for deficit spending is now at historic levels. Will Americans paper their walls with dollar bills when inflation hits?

So far, most Congressional authorizations have not been disbursed. But as spending budgets are executed, inflation should kick in.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
More ...

Securities Analysis

Are investors being misled?

Mutual funds are sold primarily on the basis of 'performance' measured by historical 'total return'.The famous Morningstar 'star' rating system is based on 'total return', in this case 'risk-adjusted total return' relative to funds of the same asset category.
More ...

US Politics

President Obama and the Lincoln Bible

The Crash of 2008 put Barack Obama in the Oval Office and was the culmination of two secular financial trends. Americans now have an untested, inexperienced leader, with strange radical friends and a leftist deficit spending agenda. More ...

US equities

Stocks surge on spurious earnings

In Q1 2009, stock buybacks came back, driving up equity prices and sparking a rally by dominating a thin market. These equity repurchases were financed from depreciation reserves and bond issues. More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

What Is ‘International Liquidity’?

It used to be that the term 'international liquidity' meant the relative amount of resources available to a nation's monetary authorities that could be used to settle a balance of payments deficit. In the days of the gold standard, this would mean access to gold that could be used to redeem a nation's currency held by foreigners. More ...

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2010-08-12 16:02