Conservative Economics

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Category: Small Investors

This category includes articles that discuss the interests of small investors that accumulate assets in modest portfolios, funds, trusts, and savings accounts.

Social change:

Thriving without a credit card

The Crash of 2008 is restructuring the availability of consumer credit as well as household spending and saving habits.

Restricted availability of consumer credit and a greater propensity of households to save before spending, may result in less use of credit cards and smaller mortgages. A return, even partial, to saving habits of the 1950s could stimulate economic recovery.

The popular Dave Ramsey radio and TV shows suggest that a societal change in this direction is at least possible. Lower levels of personal debt would boost the economy and make people happier.

US stock market

Baby Boomers’ retirement prospects

Boomers' retirement may be less than expected

A study by Daniel R. Ackerman, CPA, suggests that Baby Boomers who count on the long-term equity returns of 8% may be disappointed, either because returns are simply not justified, or because, if they are, the supply of equities from Boomers trying to exit the market during retirement will be so great as to depress stock prices.

Reliance on income-based investment, rather than capital gains, may be a more prudent strategy.

US Equities 2005

Mutual fund sales fall to 3-year low

Mutual fund sales drop

Net sales of mutual fund shares dropped to the lowest point in the three years 2003-2005, with net sales of $257.5 billion. Net sales of mutual funds fell almost 14% from 2004 to 2005.

Weak fund sales in combination with historical over-valuation of stocks and the impending retirement of baby boomers, are a portent of weakness in the US equity market.

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Featured articles on inside pages

Stock buybacks

Warren Buffett attacks buyback schemes

In the 2005 Berkshire-Hathaway annual report, Warren Buffet points to the unethical aspects of the buyback-option schemes so common in the US stock market. He noted that "Too often ... the deck is stacked against investors when it comes to the CEO’s pay. ... every dime paid out in dividends reduces the value of all outstanding options"
More ...

Securities Analysis

Some banks are too complex to manage

It is no secret that Citicorp no longer earns the same respect in financial circles as in days of yore. The problem is excessive complexity. This article describes the simplicity of the Citibank operation in 1956 when the bank was the world's most powerful financial institution.
More ...

US Politics

Why are the Super-Rich often liberals?

If we are to believe the old adage that, 'people vote their pocketbooks', why are so many of the Super-Rich ardent supporters of the Democratic Party? Why do the liberal Super-Rich seem to act in a way that is so contrary to their selfish interests and economic well-being? Here I show how capital flow analysis of the Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provides an answer to this apparent conundrum. More ...

US equities

Do stocks offer protection against inflation?

There is a common belief that a managed, diversified portfolio of US common stocks provides protection against inflation. However, there is reason to question whether this protection currently exists.
More ...

US Bonds

Bond demand exceeds supply for a decade

Over the decade, 1995-2004, the demand for US bonds of all types has surpassed new bond issues in eight of the last ten years. This is the reason that bond prices have held firm, even in 2003, when net new issues reached almost $1.8 trillion. More ...

World Economy

Signs of US losing its groove?

Thirty years ago, US income from abroad was more than double the amount of income that the US paid to the rest of the world. This year, or the next, this foreign income surplus may disappear forever. Is the US 'losing its groove'? More ...

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2010-08-11 16:03