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Category: US Equities
Flow of funds analysis

US corporations still in recovery mode

The rubble of 2008 has not yet been cleaned away.

The Federal Reserve flow of funds accounts provide a general view of the financial situation of US corporations as of Q4 2009. The question that I would like to address is simply this: To what degree have US corporations been able to improve their financial liquidity since the Crash of 2008? Whereas behavior of US households indicates a shift to more conservative financial positions — with far higher levels of saving than prior to 2008 — corporations do not seem to have taken a similar course.

As goes January?

Foreigners and funds buy US stocks

Market clockwork from former times

Foreign investors and mutual fund shareholders were the primary buyers behind the Bear Market Recovery of 2009. Stock buybacks had disappeared, a significant modification in investor/issuer behavior that had been seen since 1982 and SEC Rule 10b-18.

The rally hit a peak in January 2010, reminding many of the saying, “As goes January, so goes the year”.

US equity markets: a new paradigm?

How long will the 2009 stock rally last?

New York City in the 1970s, before the Buyback Era

The US stock market rally of 2009 revealed flow of funds patterns not seen for over a generation. The rise in prices does not seem to be based on fundamentals. There are barriers to continued recovery.

Does 2009 represent a paradigm shift in the market of US equities?

Or is this simply a signal of a fleeting bubble, like the rally of 1932?

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2010-08-13 16:01